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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction Subclass_ENCYCLOPEDIA/ALMANAC Brilliantly odd

SKU 91736442294
4.3
USD79.90 USD117.90

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Description

Brilliantly odd

visualisation and affirmations

With proven merits as a textbook welcomed by students of civil engineering

It rose to the top of The Times's best-seller list and logged 72 weeks as a sales leader

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction Subclass_ENCYCLOPEDIA/ALMANAC Brilliantly oddEverything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it. In a landmark, twenty year study, Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson

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